Projections of school student numbers

[Clive Downs]

Hi Everyone,

Does anyone use SPSS for producing projected numbers of students (pupils)
at schools (I am thinking of the UK education system
specifically, 'primary' schools (age 4 to 11) and 'secondary' schools (age
11 to 18), although the methods may be generic).

If so, I would be grateful to know of any methods you use to model things
like evaluating accuracy of projections, building in the various factors,
such as birth rates, churn, that influence numbers.

There are matrix methods of course for population projections, but perhaps
there are other solutions that have been designed in SPSS?

Thanks,

Clive.

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[Arthur Burke]

Clive ... This is from the US, but perhaps there is material at this
site that can help you:

http://www.pdx.edu/prc/schoolenrollment.html

Art
____________________________________________
Art Burke
Northwest Regional Educational Laboratory
101 SW Main St, Suite 500
Portland, OR 97204-3213
____________________________________________
-----Original Message-----
From: Clive Downs [mailto:[hidden email]]
Sent: Friday, January 09, 2009 5:21 AM
To: [hidden email]
Subject: Projections of school student numbers

Hi Everyone,

Does anyone use SPSS for producing projected numbers of students
(pupils) at schools (I am thinking of the UK education system
specifically, 'primary' schools (age 4 to 11) and 'secondary' schools
(age
11 to 18), although the methods may be generic).

If so, I would be grateful to know of any methods you use to model
things like evaluating accuracy of projections, building in the various
factors, such as birth rates, churn, that influence numbers.

There are matrix methods of course for population projections, but
perhaps there are other solutions that have been designed in SPSS?

Thanks,

Clive.

=====================
To manage your subscription to SPSSX-L, send a message to
[hidden email] (not to SPSSX-L), with no body text except the
command. To leave the list, send the command SIGNOFF SPSSX-L For a list
of commands to manage subscriptions, send the command INFO REFCARD

=====================
To manage your subscription to SPSSX-L, send a message to
[hidden email] (not to SPSSX-L), with no body text except the
command. To leave the list, send the command
SIGNOFF SPSSX-L
For a list of commands to manage subscriptions, send the command
INFO REFCARD