Dear Lister
Attached are part of my output. After running my Sales Model Using Expert Modeller in SPSS 17.0, I got the following warnig: The forecast table is not created because no forecasts could be calculated. Could you please show me how to fixed this issue and get forecasts?
Thanks!
Han Chen
===============================================================================================================
|
Model Fit |
|
Fit Statistic |
Mean |
SE |
Minimum |
Maximum |
Percentile |
|
5 |
10 |
25 |
50 |
75 |
90 |
95 |
|
Stationary R-squared |
.499 |
. |
.499 |
.499 |
.499 |
.499 |
.499 |
.499 |
.499 |
.499 |
.499 |
|
R-squared |
.873 |
. |
.873 |
.873 |
.873 |
.873 |
.873 |
.873 |
.873 |
.873 |
.873 |
|
RMSE |
152718.618 |
. |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
152718.618 |
|
MAPE |
8.301 |
. |
8.301 |
8.301 |
8.301 |
8.301 |
8.301 |
8.301 |
8.301 |
8.301 |
8.301 |
|
MaxAPE |
107.801 |
. |
107.801 |
107.801 |
107.801 |
107.801 |
107.801 |
107.801 |
107.801 |
107.801 |
107.801 |
|
MAE |
94374.140 |
. |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
94374.140 |
|
MaxAE |
854134.210 |
. |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
854134.210 |
|
Normalized BIC |
23.974 |
. |
23.974 |
23.974 |
23.974 |
23.974 |
23.974 |
23.974 |
23.974 |
23.974 |
23.974 |
| Model Statistics |
|
Model |
Number of Predictors |
Model Fit statistics |
Ljung-Box Q(18) |
Number of Outliers |
| Stationary R-squared |
Statistics |
DF |
Sig. |
|
Sales-Model_1 |
0 |
.499 |
28.909 |
16 |
.025 |
0 |